As the May 15 culmination of the Gaza protests approaches, Israel continues to strive to minimize casualties on both sides while Hamas aims for the opposite.
Unfortunately for both sides, the new Hamas tactic appears to be another cynical ploy by the group to divert attention away from its failures. By heating things up in the struggle against Israel, Hamas aspires to position itself on the forefront of the Palestinian national movement and gain an advantage over its Palestinian Authority (PA) rivals. Therefore, the PA’s negative response to the protests—including a senior PA official calling the protest organizers frauds who send women, children and youths to their deaths—should come as no surprise. The PA official is certainly right about that: Hamas seeking to make political gains by convincing hundreds to attack a border fence protected by armed guards—practically a suicide mission in any part of the world—is despicable.
While Israel did have the option to refrain from firing on those rushing its border, doing so would likely have led to many more deaths. If those charging the fence were not deterred, many more might have joined and they might have gotten through to the other side where there are several vulnerable Israeli communities nearby. It is no stretch to think that there were terrorists among the protesters, as members of the crowd attacked Israeli troops with Molotov cocktails and explosive devices on numerous occasions—of course they did so within the cover of civilians. In a scenario in which a massive number of hostile individuals infiltrated the border, one could easily imagine that Israeli efforts to neutralize them would result in hundreds of dead, if not more.
All things considered, Israel has successfully managed to strike a delicate balance between instilling deterrence and avoiding provocations through heavy-handed tactics. Unfortunately but not surprisingly, in leading the protests and launching violent attacks from within them, Hamas has adopted yet another tactic that puts civilian lives at risk in order to achieve its own political aims; for years, the group has been committing war crimes such as launching rockets at Israeli civilians from densely populated Palestinian neighborhoods. As self-interest appears to be the group’s only guiding principle, it seems appropriate to warn Hamas that if they continue to escalate tensions with Israel as a way to deflect from their own failures, they run the risk of losing control of the situation and being dragged into a war they do not want and cannot win.
Maj. Gen. (ret.) Amos Yadlin was chief of Israeli military intelligence from 2006 to 2010 and is now the director of the Institute for National Security Studies. Ari Heistein is the special assistant to the director of the Institute for National Security Studies.